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Red43
60503.0
533114.3
650815.9
Blue45
743319.0
64764.8
64348.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35320204060804345

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.90.5
15.515.9
Auto1.4
Teleop5.5
End9.1
blue by 3.1
19.00.5
16.817.2
Auto4.7
Teleop11.0
End3.3
Second
5331
#10
14.30.5
14.214.7
Auto4.5
Teleop5.9
End3.9
red by 5.4
6434
#16
8.80.5
8.79.2
Auto3.9
Teleop3.4
End1.5
Third
6050
#25
3.00.5
2.53.0
Auto0.8
Teleop2.9
End-0.8
blue by 1.8
6476
#13
4.80.5
4.75.2
Auto1.9
Teleop1.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
16%Hangar oddsEarned8%Hangar oddsMissed