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Red57
651024.1
558428.8
88758.3
Blue35
756119.9
71638.1
64764.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions342901020405060705735

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.82.4
11.513.9
Auto9.0
Teleop11.3
End8.5
red by 8.9
19.90.8
9.810.6
Auto4.5
Teleop11.0
End4.4
Second
24.12.4
12.114.5
Auto6.9
Teleop8.7
End8.5
red by 15.9
7163
#21
8.10.8
8.59.3
Auto3.9
Teleop3.2
End1.0
Third
8875
#11
8.32.4
7.710.1
Auto3.4
Teleop-0.5
End5.3
red by 3.5
6476
#13
4.80.8
9.810.5
Auto1.9
Teleop1.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
27%Hangar oddsEarned25%Hangar oddsMissed