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Red64
248618.9
247820.8
498413.6
Blue65
418320.8
385318.4
441813.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions575330407080906465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.80.2
20.620.8
Auto3.6
Teleop11.3
End5.8
Level
20.80.4
20.020.3
Auto5.8
Teleop6.9
End8.1
Second
2486
#11
18.90.2
18.818.9
Auto3.7
Teleop10.3
End4.9
red by 0.5
18.40.4
17.618.0
Auto4.2
Teleop3.1
End11.1
Third
4984
#20
13.60.2
13.413.6
Auto4.0
Teleop3.5
End6.0
blue by 0.1
4418
#19
13.60.4
12.813.2
Auto3.6
Teleop6.1
End3.9