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Red54
320014.6
406820.0
141014.3
Blue35
742619.8
802112.1
455010.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5345204060805435

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.00.0
20.020.0
Auto5.0
Teleop11.2
End3.8
red by 0.2
7426
#17
19.80.3
20.119.8
Auto6.3
Teleop6.2
End7.2
Second
3200
#14
14.60.0
14.614.6
Auto5.0
Teleop5.2
End4.4
red by 2.5
12.10.3
12.412.1
Auto3.0
Teleop2.5
End6.7
Third
1410
#28
14.30.0
14.414.4
Auto5.0
Teleop4.2
End5.1
red by 3.8
4550
#16
10.50.3
10.810.5
Auto2.6
Teleop1.2
End6.7