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Red58
248618.9
802112.1
300914.2
Blue27
441813.6
9967.0
141014.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3437203040505827

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2486
#11
18.91.6
12.714.3
Auto3.7
Teleop10.3
End4.9
red by 4.6
1410
#28
14.30.8
17.516.7
Auto5.0
Teleop4.2
End5.1
Second
3009
#15
14.21.6
10.111.7
Auto5.4
Teleop5.9
End3.0
red by 0.6
4418
#19
13.60.8
8.77.9
Auto3.6
Teleop6.1
End3.9
Third
12.11.6
9.110.7
Auto3.0
Teleop2.5
End6.7
red by 5.2
996
#35
7.00.8
8.17.3
Auto1.6
Teleop2.1
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
36%Hangar oddsEarned29%Hangar oddsMissed