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Red11
55392.8
18284.3
68216.0
Blue30
68336.8
30194.8
247820.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions243604060801130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6821
#27
6.01.4
6.65.2
Auto3.3
Teleop-0.3
End3.0
blue by 14.8
20.80.7
15.214.5
Auto3.6
Teleop11.3
End5.8
Second
1828
#36
4.31.4
10.38.8
Auto2.6
Teleop1.6
End0.1
blue by 2.5
6833
#31
6.80.7
9.48.7
Auto3.2
Teleop2.1
End1.5
Third
5539
#33
2.81.4
7.05.5
Auto1.3
Teleop2.2
End-0.7
blue by 2.0
3019
#32
4.80.7
7.56.8
Auto1.5
Teleop3.8
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
19%Hangar oddsMissed23%Hangar oddsMissed