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Red38
149212.3
49820.3
61277.5
Blue39
406820.0
874516.0
68216.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374302060801003839

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#13
20.30.3
14.915.2
Auto3.7
Teleop11.7
End4.9
red by 0.3
20.00.5
19.018.5
Auto5.0
Teleop11.2
End3.8
Second
1492
#18
12.30.3
13.013.3
Auto4.1
Teleop6.9
End1.3
blue by 3.7
8745
#12
16.00.5
14.914.4
Auto7.5
Teleop5.2
End3.3
Third
6127
#29
7.50.3
7.88.0
Auto2.2
Teleop2.2
End3.0
red by 1.5
6821
#27
6.00.5
5.65.1
Auto3.3
Teleop-0.3
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
24%Cargo oddsEarned34%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
26%Hangar oddsMissed30%Hangar oddsMissed