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Red16
455010.5
31878.7
742619.8
Blue43
802112.1
406820.0
172614.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394502060801001643

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7426
#17
19.82.4
16.113.7
Auto6.3
Teleop6.2
End7.2
blue by 0.2
20.00.1
18.518.7
Auto5.0
Teleop11.2
End3.8
Second
4550
#16
10.52.4
9.67.2
Auto2.6
Teleop1.2
End6.7
blue by 3.5
1726
#21
14.00.1
12.212.3
Auto4.1
Teleop5.1
End4.8
Third
3187
#30
8.72.4
11.79.3
Auto3.5
Teleop3.7
End1.6
blue by 3.4
12.10.1
11.111.2
Auto3.0
Teleop2.5
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
21%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsMissed53%Hangar oddsMissed