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Red16
11656.0
141014.3
18284.3
Blue43
80879.6
11420.9
49820.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions324202060801643

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1410
#28
14.31.7
15.313.6
Auto5.0
Teleop4.2
End5.1
blue by 6.6
114
#2
20.90.6
15.516.1
Auto3.2
Teleop8.4
End9.4
Second
1165
#24
6.01.7
9.67.9
Auto3.2
Teleop0.4
End2.4
blue by 14.2
498
#13
20.30.6
15.215.8
Auto3.7
Teleop11.7
End4.9
Third
1828
#36
4.31.7
6.64.9
Auto2.6
Teleop1.6
End0.1
blue by 5.4
8087
#22
9.60.6
7.17.7
Auto2.8
Teleop2.7
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed31%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
27%Hangar oddsMissed32%Hangar oddsMissed