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Red43
406820.0
149212.3
99110.4
Blue15
61277.5
172614.0
30194.8
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions512204060804315

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.01.0
18.717.7
Auto5.0
Teleop11.2
End3.8
red by 6.0
1726
#21
14.01.0
12.311.3
Auto4.1
Teleop5.1
End4.8
Second
1492
#18
12.31.0
12.811.8
Auto4.1
Teleop6.9
End1.3
red by 4.7
6127
#29
7.51.0
8.17.0
Auto2.2
Teleop2.2
End3.0
Third
991
#23
10.41.0
12.611.6
Auto4.2
Teleop2.3
End3.9
red by 5.6
3019
#32
4.81.0
4.03.0
Auto1.5
Teleop3.8
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
33%Cargo oddsEarned9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
38%Hangar oddsMissed13%Hangar oddsMissed