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Red12
418320.8
68336.8
55392.8
Blue46
300914.2
455010.5
49820.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313901020506070801246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.82.0
17.715.7
Auto5.8
Teleop6.9
End8.1
red by 0.5
498
#13
20.30.7
15.816.5
Auto3.7
Teleop11.7
End4.9
Second
6833
#31
6.82.0
8.06.0
Auto3.2
Teleop2.1
End1.5
blue by 7.4
3009
#15
14.20.7
12.613.3
Auto5.4
Teleop5.9
End3.0
Third
5539
#33
2.82.0
4.32.3
Auto1.3
Teleop2.2
End-0.7
blue by 7.7
4550
#16
10.50.7
7.27.9
Auto2.6
Teleop1.2
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsMissed32%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsMissed31%Hangar oddsEarned