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Red33
149212.3
300914.2
31878.7
Blue49
30194.8
11420.9
385318.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414302060801001203349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3009
#15
14.21.0
15.814.8
Auto5.4
Teleop5.9
End3.0
blue by 6.7
114
#2
20.90.8
20.221.1
Auto3.2
Teleop8.4
End9.4
Second
1492
#18
12.31.0
13.412.4
Auto4.1
Teleop6.9
End1.3
blue by 6.1
18.40.8
17.117.9
Auto4.2
Teleop3.1
End11.1
Third
3187
#30
8.71.0
10.09.0
Auto3.5
Teleop3.7
End1.6
red by 3.9
3019
#32
4.80.8
3.03.8
Auto1.5
Teleop3.8
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
49%Cargo oddsEarned17%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
19%Hangar oddsMissed39%Hangar oddsEarned