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Red42
11420.9
212229.2
172614.0
Blue64
418320.8
385318.4
441813.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7452204060801001204264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.20.7
30.029.3
Auto7.4
Teleop11.6
End10.1
red by 8.4
20.80.3
20.520.8
Auto5.8
Teleop6.9
End8.1
Second
114
#2
20.90.7
21.721.0
Auto3.2
Teleop8.4
End9.4
red by 2.5
18.40.3
18.118.4
Auto4.2
Teleop3.1
End11.1
Third
1726
#21
14.00.8
14.914.1
Auto4.1
Teleop5.1
End4.8
red by 0.4
4418
#19
13.60.3
13.413.6
Auto3.6
Teleop6.1
End3.9