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Red73
240325.8
635224.7
28408.6
Blue56
874517.9
641314.6
31877.6
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions623920801007356

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2403
#11
25.80.3
24.624.9
Auto8.2
Teleop12.9
End4.7
red by 8.0
8745
#15
17.90.3
17.617.9
Auto7.4
Teleop7.9
End2.6
Second
24.70.3
23.523.8
Auto4.2
Teleop10.2
End10.3
red by 10.1
14.60.3
14.414.6
Auto4.7
Teleop7.9
End2.1
Third
2840
#31
8.60.3
7.47.7
Auto3.3
Teleop3.3
End2.0
red by 1.0
3187
#16
7.60.3
7.37.6
Auto3.1
Teleop3.6
End0.9