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Red61
69810.5
874517.9
240325.8
Blue43
121212.4
247823.3
77036.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49401020306070806143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2403
#11
25.81.1
21.022.1
Auto8.2
Teleop12.9
End4.7
red by 2.5
23.30.0
20.720.7
Auto3.9
Teleop15.0
End4.4
Second
8745
#15
17.91.2
17.118.3
Auto7.4
Teleop7.9
End2.6
red by 5.5
1212
#24
12.40.0
8.78.7
Auto3.2
Teleop4.9
End4.3
Third
698
#10
10.51.8
6.98.7
Auto5.0
Teleop4.1
End1.4
red by 4.4
7703
#20
6.10.0
9.29.3
Auto2.0
Teleop2.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
22%Cargo oddsEarned21%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
26%Hangar oddsMissed29%Hangar oddsEarned