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Red51
635224.7
593310.1
884818.5
Blue22
28408.6
874517.9
641314.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343801020305060705122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.72.1
13.515.6
Auto4.2
Teleop10.2
End10.3
red by 6.8
8745
#15
17.90.9
18.317.4
Auto7.4
Teleop7.9
End2.6
Second
18.52.1
10.112.2
Auto5.4
Teleop8.6
End4.5
red by 3.9
14.61.4
8.16.7
Auto4.7
Teleop7.9
End2.1
Third
5933
#13
10.12.1
8.710.8
Auto3.4
Teleop2.7
End4.0
red by 1.5
2840
#31
8.61.4
8.47.0
Auto3.3
Teleop3.3
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed30%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
32%Hangar oddsEarned11%Hangar oddsMissed