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Red15
32457.5
77036.1
593310.1
Blue13
69810.5
11654.4
45659.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2930102040501513

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5933
#13
10.11.4
10.89.4
Auto3.4
Teleop2.7
End4.0
blue by 0.4
698
#10
10.51.7
10.89.1
Auto5.0
Teleop4.1
End1.4
Second
3245
#25
7.51.4
4.83.4
Auto2.2
Teleop1.7
End3.5
blue by 2.1
4565
#17
9.61.7
12.110.4
Auto4.6
Teleop3.2
End1.8
Third
7703
#20
6.11.4
11.910.5
Auto2.0
Teleop2.9
End1.2
red by 1.7
1165
#35
4.41.0
5.54.4
Auto2.4
Teleop1.5
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed23%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
30%Hangar oddsMissed9%Hangar oddsMissed