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Red29
149216.5
80126.1
593310.1
Blue18
121212.4
83069.0
11654.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3617010304050602918

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.50.2
13.613.5
Auto5.5
Teleop8.0
End2.9
red by 4.0
1212
#24
12.40.5
7.46.9
Auto3.2
Teleop4.9
End4.3
Second
5933
#13
10.10.3
9.49.1
Auto3.4
Teleop2.7
End4.0
red by 1.1
8306
#28
9.00.5
6.76.2
Auto3.8
Teleop3.8
End1.3
Third
8012
#22
6.10.3
8.38.0
Auto3.2
Teleop2.3
End0.6
red by 1.7
1165
#35
4.40.3
4.44.1
Auto2.4
Teleop1.5
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
24%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
17%Hangar oddsMissed9%Hangar oddsMissed