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Red32
28408.6
121212.4
505910.0
Blue35
31877.6
641314.6
41111.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27210103040503235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1212
#24
12.40.3
8.08.3
Auto3.2
Teleop4.9
End4.3
blue by 2.2
14.61.2
12.013.1
Auto4.7
Teleop7.9
End2.1
Second
5059
#21
10.00.3
10.610.9
Auto3.1
Teleop4.3
End2.6
red by 2.4
3187
#16
7.60.7
7.38.0
Auto3.1
Teleop3.6
End0.9
Third
2840
#31
8.60.3
6.36.7
Auto3.3
Teleop3.3
End2.0
red by 7.1
4111
#34
1.51.2
1.32.5
Auto0.4
Teleop1.1
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed24%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
10%Hangar oddsMissed8%Hangar oddsMissed