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Red46
240325.8
11654.4
80126.1
Blue124
635224.7
49823.0
481710.6
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions375120608010012046124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2403
#11
25.80.4
23.624.0
Auto8.2
Teleop12.9
End4.7
red by 1.1
24.72.5
17.720.1
Auto4.2
Teleop10.2
End10.3
Second
8012
#22
6.10.6
9.410.0
Auto3.2
Teleop2.3
End0.6
blue by 16.9
498
#2
23.01.5
22.223.6
Auto5.1
Teleop13.8
End4.1
Third
1165
#35
4.40.4
3.53.9
Auto2.4
Teleop1.5
End0.5
blue by 6.2
4817
#14
10.61.5
6.17.6
Auto4.0
Teleop3.0
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed28%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
14%Hangar oddsMissed31%Hangar oddsEarned