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Red82
247823.3
441538.8
77036.1
Blue70
240325.8
635224.7
28408.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7259405080901001101208270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.80.3
38.138.4
Auto11.5
Teleop14.7
End12.6
red by 12.9
2403
#11
25.80.3
25.225.5
Auto8.2
Teleop12.9
End4.7
Second
23.30.3
22.622.9
Auto3.9
Teleop15.0
End4.4
blue by 1.4
24.70.3
24.124.4
Auto4.2
Teleop10.2
End10.3
Third
7703
#20
6.10.3
5.45.7
Auto2.0
Teleop2.9
End1.2
blue by 2.5
2840
#31
8.60.3
8.08.3
Auto3.3
Teleop3.3
End2.0