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Red50
31927.3
17311.3
715322.1
Blue125
216850.2
147413.3
8830.8
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6412005010015020050125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#17
27.31.1
30.629.4
Auto4.8
Teleop11.7
End10.8
blue by 22.9
50.20.5
45.245.7
Auto10.4
Teleop27.9
End12.0
Second
7153
#31
22.11.1
21.720.6
Auto6.5
Teleop11.5
End4.1
blue by 8.7
88
#2
30.80.5
42.643.1
Auto8.8
Teleop15.4
End6.7
Third
173
#56
11.31.1
14.813.7
Auto3.7
Teleop5.2
End2.4
blue by 1.9
1474
#26
13.30.5
17.718.2
Auto4.0
Teleop6.8
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
75%Cargo oddsMissed96%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
44%Hangar oddsEarned85%Hangar oddsEarned