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Red100
412212.2
740754.7
23831.7
Blue86
172919.9
404825.6
174029.3
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1256605010015020010086

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.70.9
49.248.3
Auto16.1
Teleop25.6
End13.1
red by 25.4
1740
#58
29.31.1
31.132.2
Auto8.3
Teleop14.5
End6.4
Second
238
#16
31.70.9
45.144.2
Auto12.1
Teleop9.9
End9.6
red by 6.1
4048
#28
25.61.1
23.424.5
Auto9.4
Teleop6.5
End9.7
Third
4122
#49
12.20.9
15.514.6
Auto3.9
Teleop3.9
End4.5
blue by 7.7
1729
#41
19.91.1
15.216.3
Auto5.4
Teleop10.7
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
95%Cargo oddsMissed74%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
83%Hangar oddsEarned32%Hangar oddsEarned