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Red54
147413.3
19539.5
318212.6
Blue25
13817.0
12622.5
1904.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70620501001502005425

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#8
39.50.7
36.936.2
Auto9.0
Teleop19.4
End11.1
red by 16.9
126
#61
22.53.1
27.124.0
Auto6.9
Teleop7.3
End8.3
Second
1474
#26
13.30.7
17.216.5
Auto4.0
Teleop6.8
End2.6
blue by 3.8
138
#39
17.03.1
20.517.4
Auto3.3
Teleop3.3
End10.4
Third
3182
#45
12.60.7
10.29.5
Auto4.7
Teleop2.5
End5.4
red by 8.0
190
#54
4.63.1
11.68.5
Auto4.0
Teleop-0.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
79%Cargo oddsMissed27%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
70%Hangar oddsEarned85%Hangar oddsMissed