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Red68
490932.2
872420.3
404825.6
Blue106
199114.1
216850.2
7829.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9410240608012014016068106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4909
#10
32.21.4
37.335.9
Auto8.9
Teleop13.4
End9.9
blue by 18.0
50.20.1
46.346.2
Auto10.4
Teleop27.9
End12.0
Second
4048
#28
25.61.4
26.925.5
Auto9.4
Teleop6.5
End9.7
blue by 4.0
78
#13
29.60.1
33.133.1
Auto9.7
Teleop9.6
End10.3
Third
8724
#25
20.31.4
25.023.6
Auto7.6
Teleop8.8
End4.0
red by 6.2
1991
#52
14.10.1
15.415.4
Auto5.4
Teleop5.1
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
87%Cargo oddsMissed85%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
81%Hangar oddsEarned77%Hangar oddsEarned