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Red70
13817.0
13147.5
179631.4
Blue60
17311.3
63246.7
17736.9
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1065301502007060

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#4
47.51.8
42.040.2
Auto14.9
Teleop23.1
End9.6
red by 10.6
177
#15
36.90.1
36.936.9
Auto8.9
Teleop18.8
End9.1
Second
1796
#36
31.41.8
32.330.5
Auto9.7
Teleop18.3
End3.4
red by 20.1
173
#56
11.30.1
10.010.0
Auto3.7
Teleop5.2
End2.4
Third
138
#39
17.01.8
18.616.8
Auto3.3
Teleop3.3
End10.4
red by 10.4
6324
#57
6.70.1
9.89.7
Auto2.8
Teleop2.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
91%Cargo oddsEarned35%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
89%Hangar oddsMissed60%Hangar oddsMissed