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Red78
22827.5
16622.3
287724.9
Blue84
146834.4
110028.4
872420.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8487506070801001107884

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
228
#21
27.50.9
27.827.0
Auto6.5
Teleop12.6
End8.4
blue by 6.9
34.40.2
31.031.1
Auto10.7
Teleop18.3
End5.4
Second
2877
#20
24.90.9
25.524.6
Auto8.8
Teleop7.4
End8.7
blue by 3.5
1100
#11
28.40.2
27.027.1
Auto6.5
Teleop14.4
End7.5
Third
166
#38
22.30.9
25.624.7
Auto4.2
Teleop6.3
End11.7
red by 1.9
8724
#25
20.30.2
23.623.7
Auto7.6
Teleop8.8
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
71%Cargo oddsMissed91%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
96%Hangar oddsEarned67%Hangar oddsEarned