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Red102
67639.3
110028.4
13147.5
Blue70
85678.6
7829.6
412212.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions836005010015010270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#4
47.51.3
40.241.5
Auto14.9
Teleop23.1
End9.6
red by 17.9
78
#13
29.60.2
33.333.5
Auto9.7
Teleop9.6
End10.3
Second
1100
#11
28.41.3
27.128.4
Auto6.5
Teleop14.4
End7.5
red by 16.2
4122
#49
12.20.2
17.417.6
Auto3.9
Teleop3.9
End4.5
Third
6763
#40
9.31.3
7.38.6
Auto4.1
Teleop1.3
End3.9
red by 0.7
8567
#50
8.60.2
8.48.6
Auto3.4
Teleop0.4
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
71%Cargo oddsEarned8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
69%Hangar oddsEarned58%Hangar oddsEarned