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Red45
442115.1
636417.7
71674.6
Blue41
635110.1
648517.9
80824.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393402060804541

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.70.2
17.217.4
Auto5.0
Teleop5.7
End7.0
blue by 0.2
17.90.1
17.918.0
Auto5.9
Teleop7.6
End4.4
Second
15.10.2
14.614.8
Auto5.1
Teleop3.5
End6.5
red by 5.0
10.10.1
10.010.1
Auto3.2
Teleop2.1
End4.7
Third
7167
#18
4.60.2
4.14.3
Auto2.0
Teleop1.7
End0.9
blue by 0.3
8082
#17
4.90.1
4.84.9
Auto2.0
Teleop1.3
End1.6