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Red21
635110.1
648517.9
80824.9
Blue15
71907.7
2169.8
83315.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372301030506070802115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.90.3
17.917.6
Auto5.9
Teleop7.6
End4.4
red by 8.1
216
#12
9.80.2
10.09.8
Auto3.4
Teleop3.0
End3.4
Second
10.10.3
10.19.8
Auto3.2
Teleop2.1
End4.7
red by 2.4
7190
#15
7.70.2
7.97.7
Auto3.9
Teleop2.0
End1.8
Third
8082
#17
4.90.3
4.94.6
Auto2.0
Teleop1.3
End1.6
blue by 0.5
8331
#21
5.40.2
5.65.4
Auto2.0
Teleop4.1
End-0.7