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Red35
73325.8
442115.1
778712.0
Blue15
83315.4
80824.9
462711.5
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26340102040506070803515

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.119.8
28.99.2
Auto5.1
Teleop3.5
End6.5
red by 3.6
4627
#10
11.52.2
13.511.3
Auto5.8
Teleop1.5
End4.3
Second
12.01.0
9.410.4
Auto4.1
Teleop4.8
End3.1
red by 6.6
8331
#21
5.42.2
9.16.9
Auto2.0
Teleop4.1
End-0.7
Third
7332
#11
5.83.4
5.89.2
Auto2.8
Teleop1.2
End1.7
red by 0.9
8082
#17
4.92.2
8.15.9
Auto2.0
Teleop1.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsMissed25%Hangar oddsMissed