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Red25
648517.9
87944.1
462711.5
Blue10
71907.7
80824.9
73325.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3420010304050602510

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.90.5
15.615.1
Auto5.9
Teleop7.6
End4.4
red by 10.2
7190
#15
7.71.0
8.27.2
Auto3.9
Teleop2.0
End1.8
Second
4627
#10
11.50.5
10.49.9
Auto5.8
Teleop1.5
End4.3
red by 5.8
7332
#11
5.81.0
7.06.0
Auto2.8
Teleop1.2
End1.7
Third
8794
#19
4.10.5
4.13.6
Auto1.3
Teleop1.1
End1.7
blue by 0.8
8082
#17
4.91.0
5.34.3
Auto2.0
Teleop1.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed5%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
19%Hangar oddsMissed36%Hangar oddsMissed