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Red38
83388.1
87944.1
442115.1
Blue46
778712.0
648610.6
636417.7
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22450103040506070803846

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.10.8
13.914.7
Auto5.1
Teleop3.5
End6.5
blue by 2.6
17.70.5
17.518.1
Auto5.0
Teleop5.7
End7.0
Second
8338
#14
8.10.8
6.77.5
Auto2.1
Teleop3.4
End2.5
blue by 4.0
12.00.5
11.812.3
Auto4.1
Teleop4.8
End3.1
Third
8794
#19
4.10.8
3.34.1
Auto1.3
Teleop1.1
End1.7
blue by 6.5
10.60.5
10.010.5
Auto3.9
Teleop5.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
4%Cargo oddsMissed18%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
15%Hangar oddsMissed51%Hangar oddsMissed