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Red20
648610.6
80824.9
778712.0
Blue31
636417.7
77965.1
71674.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3030202535402031

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
12.00.6
12.311.7
Auto4.1
Teleop4.8
End3.1
blue by 5.7
17.70.1
18.118.0
Auto5.0
Teleop5.7
End7.0
Second
10.60.6
10.59.9
Auto3.9
Teleop5.2
End1.5
red by 5.5
7796
#16
5.10.1
4.84.8
Auto3.0
Teleop2.2
End-0.0
Third
8082
#17
4.90.6
5.14.5
Auto2.0
Teleop1.3
End1.6
red by 0.3
7167
#18
4.60.1
5.04.9
Auto2.0
Teleop1.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
15%Hangar oddsMissed23%Hangar oddsMissed