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Red42
635110.1
648517.9
80824.9
Blue38
639011.0
778712.0
71735.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35280102040506070804238

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.90.1
17.617.8
Auto5.9
Teleop7.6
End4.4
red by 5.9
12.00.2
11.711.9
Auto4.1
Teleop4.8
End3.1
Second
10.10.1
9.89.9
Auto3.2
Teleop2.1
End4.7
blue by 0.9
11.00.2
10.710.9
Auto3.4
Teleop3.1
End4.6
Third
8082
#17
4.90.1
4.64.7
Auto2.0
Teleop1.3
End1.6
blue by 0.7
7173
#20
5.60.3
5.25.4
Auto1.6
Teleop2.0
End2.0