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Red45
635110.1
648517.9
80824.9
Blue34
639011.0
778712.0
71735.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35291020405060704534

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.90.1
17.817.9
Auto5.9
Teleop7.6
End4.4
red by 5.9
12.00.1
11.912.0
Auto4.1
Teleop4.8
End3.1
Second
10.10.1
9.910.0
Auto3.2
Teleop2.1
End4.7
blue by 0.9
11.00.1
10.911.0
Auto3.4
Teleop3.1
End4.6
Third
8082
#17
4.90.1
4.74.8
Auto2.0
Teleop1.3
End1.6
blue by 0.7
7173
#20
5.60.1
5.45.6
Auto1.6
Teleop2.0
End2.0