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Red42
94812.3
214731.5
46828.2
Blue68
36036.5
189912.4
59375.3
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions585845505560654268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2147
#13
31.50.7
31.530.8
Auto5.4
Teleop18.0
End8.1
blue by 4.9
360
#2
36.50.7
35.336.0
Auto12.6
Teleop22.2
End1.7
Second
948
#11
12.30.7
11.410.7
Auto2.0
Teleop2.5
End7.8
blue by 0.1
1899
#12
12.40.7
14.715.4
Auto4.6
Teleop3.4
End4.4
Third
4682
#14
8.20.7
9.89.1
Auto3.5
Teleop0.7
End4.0
red by 2.9
5937
#18
5.30.7
3.74.4
Auto3.2
Teleop1.8
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
55%Cargo oddsMissed66%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
41%Hangar oddsEarned13%Hangar oddsMissed