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Red27
99994.1
59375.3
94812.3
Blue66
99905.6
9498.7
366328.4
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10480204060801001202766

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
948
#11
12.30.5
11.311.8
Auto2.0
Teleop2.5
End7.8
blue by 16.1
28.41.8
27.529.3
Auto8.6
Teleop11.8
End8.0
Second
5937
#18
5.30.5
4.34.8
Auto3.2
Teleop1.8
End0.3
blue by 3.4
949
#17
8.71.8
5.16.9
Auto4.0
Teleop1.5
End3.2
Third
9999
#20
4.10.7
3.23.9
Auto2.1
Teleop1.5
End0.5
blue by 1.5
5.62.4
6.38.7
Auto0.6
Teleop0.7
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
4%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
3%Hangar oddsMissed19%Hangar oddsEarned