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Red43
46828.2
9997-1.1
408935.6
Blue58
214731.5
99926.5
131816.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions456001001504358

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.60.0
33.833.7
Auto9.6
Teleop16.1
End9.8
red by 4.0
2147
#13
31.50.1
31.131.0
Auto5.4
Teleop18.0
End8.1
Second
4682
#14
8.20.0
9.89.8
Auto3.5
Teleop0.7
End4.0
blue by 8.5
1318
#15
16.70.1
16.316.1
Auto5.1
Teleop7.7
End4.0
Third
9997
#21
-1.10.0
-0.2-0.3
Auto0.6
Teleop-1.5
End-0.2
blue by 7.6
9992
#10
6.50.2
8.68.4
Auto2.7
Teleop2.8
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed46%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
39%Hangar oddsEarned41%Hangar oddsMissed