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Red74
441453.6
39916.8
41609.5
Blue96
364742.5
34916.0
519940.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions666750607080907496

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.60.7
47.047.7
Auto15.6
Teleop30.7
End7.3
red by 11.1
42.53.1
24.727.8
Auto14.0
Teleop20.0
End8.5
Second
399
#10
16.80.9
8.19.0
Auto4.6
Teleop7.1
End5.2
blue by 23.5
40.42.3
27.730.0
Auto6.9
Teleop22.9
End10.5
Third
4160
#26
9.51.0
8.19.0
Auto1.9
Teleop5.5
End2.1
red by 3.4
3491
#22
6.03.9
8.812.7
Auto2.4
Teleop2.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
77%Cargo oddsEarned20%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
62%Hangar oddsMissed67%Hangar oddsEarned