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Red83
519940.4
698912.9
258422.9
Blue106
265913.3
581822.2
364742.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6054020408010012083106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.41.6
30.231.7
Auto6.9
Teleop22.9
End10.5
blue by 2.2
42.53.4
35.739.1
Auto14.0
Teleop20.0
End8.5
Second
2584
#14
22.91.6
18.019.5
Auto6.1
Teleop7.1
End9.7
red by 0.8
22.23.4
8.511.8
Auto4.3
Teleop11.3
End6.6
Third
6989
#29
12.91.6
7.59.1
Auto3.9
Teleop2.9
End6.2
blue by 0.4
2659
#18
13.33.4
7.510.8
Auto2.7
Teleop8.1
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsEarned22%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
85%Hangar oddsEarned32%Hangar oddsEarned