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Red52
366916.6
581822.2
60725.2
Blue10
34916.0
54304.7
58698.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30280204060805210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.21.3
11.813.2
Auto4.3
Teleop11.3
End6.6
red by 13.6
5869
#24
8.51.1
11.110.0
Auto2.7
Teleop2.7
End3.2
Second
3669
#12
16.61.3
12.714.0
Auto3.9
Teleop1.7
End11.0
red by 10.6
3491
#22
6.01.8
9.98.1
Auto2.4
Teleop2.1
End1.6
Third
6072
#33
5.21.3
3.75.0
Auto2.7
Teleop0.4
End2.1
red by 0.5
5430
#32
4.71.1
5.44.3
Auto4.7
Teleop0.9
End-0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
43%Hangar oddsEarned25%Hangar oddsMissed