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Red157
519940.4
441453.6
386327.4
Blue72
392518.8
656033.1
24045.2
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12745010015020015772

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.62.9
48.951.8
Auto15.6
Teleop30.7
End7.3
red by 20.5
33.11.3
31.632.9
Auto8.8
Teleop14.0
End10.3
Second
40.42.9
31.134.1
Auto6.9
Teleop22.9
End10.5
red by 21.6
18.81.3
16.117.4
Auto4.6
Teleop4.8
End9.4
Third
3863
#19
27.42.9
28.931.8
Auto6.4
Teleop12.1
End9.0
red by 22.2
2404
#34
5.22.2
4.87.0
Auto1.7
Teleop2.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
89%Cargo oddsEarned23%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
94%Hangar oddsEarned61%Hangar oddsEarned