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Red95
33288.1
58698.5
364742.5
Blue35
407910.2
606021.0
656033.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6466304050607080901001109535

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.51.7
40.438.7
Auto14.0
Teleop20.0
End8.5
red by 9.4
33.11.8
32.230.4
Auto8.8
Teleop14.0
End10.3
Second
5869
#24
8.51.7
11.09.3
Auto2.7
Teleop2.7
End3.2
blue by 12.4
21.02.7
19.616.9
Auto5.8
Teleop5.8
End9.3
Third
3328
#17
8.11.7
9.27.5
Auto1.9
Teleop2.8
End3.4
blue by 2.1
4079
#25
10.21.8
9.67.9
Auto3.1
Teleop1.9
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
35%Cargo oddsMissed22%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
32%Hangar oddsMissed78%Hangar oddsMissed