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Red50
170019.0
55267.4
630513.2
Blue47
366916.6
386327.4
58698.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4261020801001201405047

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1700
#20
19.00.3
18.518.8
Auto6.2
Teleop8.3
End4.4
blue by 8.5
3863
#19
27.40.5
32.131.6
Auto6.4
Teleop12.1
End9.0
Second
6305
#15
13.20.3
15.315.5
Auto4.7
Teleop6.0
End2.5
blue by 3.4
3669
#12
16.60.5
13.312.7
Auto3.9
Teleop1.7
End11.0
Third
5526
#31
7.40.3
8.48.6
Auto3.4
Teleop2.1
End1.9
blue by 1.1
5869
#24
8.50.5
9.38.8
Auto2.7
Teleop2.7
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
33%Cargo oddsEarned15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsMissed74%Hangar oddsEarned