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Red97
24045.2
157222.3
364742.5
Blue58
441453.6
513715.5
242926.3
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions611160501001502009758

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.51.4
38.740.1
Auto14.0
Teleop20.0
End8.5
blue by 11.1
53.62.9
54.351.4
Auto15.6
Teleop30.7
End7.3
Second
1572
#13
22.31.4
18.920.3
Auto7.0
Teleop11.0
End4.3
blue by 3.9
2429
#11
26.32.9
30.727.8
Auto8.7
Teleop6.7
End10.9
Third
2404
#34
5.22.0
6.68.6
Auto1.7
Teleop2.5
End1.0
blue by 10.3
5137
#21
15.52.9
16.613.7
Auto5.0
Teleop7.0
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
30%Cargo oddsEarned90%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsMissed77%Hangar oddsMissed