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Red27
407910.2
34916.0
265913.3
Blue10
401410.8
54304.7
50123.5
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3322010405060702710

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2659
#18
13.30.2
13.513.4
Auto2.7
Teleop8.1
End2.5
red by 2.5
4014
#23
10.80.8
12.511.7
Auto4.1
Teleop1.4
End5.3
Second
4079
#25
10.20.2
8.68.4
Auto3.1
Teleop1.9
End5.1
red by 5.5
5430
#32
4.70.8
3.93.2
Auto4.7
Teleop0.9
End-0.9
Third
3491
#22
6.00.2
7.37.1
Auto2.4
Teleop2.1
End1.6
red by 2.5
5012
#28
3.50.8
5.24.4
Auto1.9
Teleop1.6
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed3%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
16%Hangar oddsMissed10%Hangar oddsMissed