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Red88
513715.5
581822.2
157222.3
Blue65
407910.2
366916.6
170019.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6244020801001208865

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1572
#13
22.31.6
21.322.9
Auto7.0
Teleop11.0
End4.3
red by 3.4
1700
#20
19.00.9
19.320.2
Auto6.2
Teleop8.3
End4.4
Second
22.21.6
20.422.0
Auto4.3
Teleop11.3
End6.6
red by 5.6
3669
#12
16.60.9
15.316.2
Auto3.9
Teleop1.7
End11.0
Third
5137
#21
15.51.6
13.915.5
Auto5.0
Teleop7.0
End3.6
red by 5.3
4079
#25
10.20.9
8.69.5
Auto3.1
Teleop1.9
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
19%Cargo oddsEarned15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsEarned63%Hangar oddsEarned