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Red127
401410.8
364742.5
441453.6
Blue39
265821.2
39916.8
581822.2
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1022902040608012014016012739

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.62.7
47.750.4
Auto15.6
Teleop30.7
End7.3
red by 31.5
22.20.4
11.511.1
Auto4.3
Teleop11.3
End6.6
Second
42.53.3
27.831.1
Auto14.0
Teleop20.0
End8.5
red by 21.4
2658
#16
21.20.4
16.015.5
Auto4.6
Teleop9.2
End7.4
Third
4014
#23
10.83.6
10.714.3
Auto4.1
Teleop1.4
End5.3
blue by 6.0
399
#10
16.80.4
9.08.6
Auto4.6
Teleop7.1
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
86%Cargo oddsEarned23%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
58%Hangar oddsEarned36%Hangar oddsMissed