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Red105
441453.6
519940.4
55267.4
Blue91
330929.6
656033.1
407910.2
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1147140608010014016018010591

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.60.0
53.753.7
Auto15.6
Teleop30.7
End7.3
red by 20.5
33.10.2
32.933.1
Auto8.8
Teleop14.0
End10.3
Second
40.40.0
40.440.4
Auto6.9
Teleop22.9
End10.5
red by 10.8
29.60.2
29.429.6
Auto9.1
Teleop11.6
End9.0
Third
5526
#31
7.40.0
7.57.5
Auto3.4
Teleop2.1
End1.9
blue by 2.7
4079
#25
10.20.2
9.910.2
Auto3.1
Teleop1.9
End5.1